So US folks... Come on then... Call next week's election!

[Neil]

Who is going to be your next president?



I wonder what Trump supporters make of this insight? - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/37799775

[Neil]

Really? No one going to make a call?

I recon the biggest turn out for decades, and Clinton wins.

[EvilNed]

I'm a citizen overseas. Not gonna vote because that would mean voting in Illinois, and thanks to the Electoral college that's just pointless. Also, it's a hassle to register to vote from overseas.

But I follow Nate Silver's Fivethirtyeight daily. I read the articles and listen to the podcast when I get the time but mostly I just check their model for predicting the outcome:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

I also predict a large turnout than the norm. Reports from voter registration authorities are already suggesting this may be the case - however the ones turning out to vote that don't usually do are probably gonna vote for Trump.
The polls, except for the LA Times one, all suggest a Clinton victory. She's in the lead with 2-3 points. Of course there's a margin of error but the truth is probably in there somewhere.

There are some swing states that Trump needs to win in order to have a chance at all. These include North Carolina, Florida and Nevada. Both are roughly on the fence on who to pick, but Clinton has a slight lead in all of them.

I'm actually gonna call a victory for Trump, however. That would be consistent with Populist candidates and options being wildly off the mark in Polling in other elections in recent memory - such as the Brexit polls. So yeah, I think Trump is gonna win this.

[Neil]

I'm a citizen overseas. Not gonna vote because that would mean voting in Illinois, and thanks to the Electoral college that's just pointless. Also, it's a hassle to register to vote from overseas.

But I follow Nate Silver's Fivethirtyeight daily. I read the articles and listen to the podcast when I get the time but mostly I just check their model for predicting the outcome:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

I also predict a large turnout than the norm. Reports from voter registration authorities are already suggesting this may be the case - however the ones turning out to vote that don't usually do are probably gonna vote for Trump.
The polls, except for the LA Times one, all suggest a Clinton victory. She's in the lead with 2-3 points. Of course there's a margin of error but the truth is probably in there somewhere.

There are some swing states that Trump needs to win in order to have a chance at all. These include North Carolina, Florida and Nevada. Both are roughly on the fence on who to pick, but Clinton has a slight lead in all of them.

I'm actually gonna call a victory for Trump, however. That would be consistent with Populist candidates and options being wildly off the mark in Polling in other elections in recent memory - such as the Brexit polls. So yeah, I think Trump is gonna win this.
Well called!

[EvilNed]

Well called!

Well, if I'd only put my money where my mouth is...

[shootemindehead]

Ha ha...hilarious.

Still, a choice between Tweedle Dum and Tweedle Dumber isn't much of a choice. I reckon a lot of Democratic voters just couldn't bring themselves to vote for a scrag like Clinton.

Things will carry on pretty much the same. It doesn't really matter who the President actually is, that's just like changing speakers on a stereo. But, just like there was a lot of disapointed Obama voters, there'll be a lot of disapointed Trump voters too, when in the next couple of years he's done nothing of what he's actually said he's going to do.

Which I suppose is a good thing, considering the tripe he's come out with over the last 18 months.

[Neil]

http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/C31E/production/_91005994_melania2013.jpg

[AcesandEights]

http://i20.photobucket.com/albums/b205/DougOBrien/safe_image_zpsnrs9d3dh.jpg